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DECEMBER 2009 EDITION

 

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10 Steps to Being a Great Realtor

Over my 25 years in the business, I have had the great opportunity to see many new agents develop into great agents. Heading into 2010, I wanted to show you the path most of them took:

1. Get Basic Real Estate Knowledge
They were sponges trying to obtain as much education as they could, as quickly as possible.

2. Know You Can Make Money
Though they never stopped learning, they also realized that they must apply what they learned. You can't learn to swim in a classroom. You need to get in the pool.

3. Develop a Great Attitude
Success is impossible without failure. They were never concerned about lack of success. They had faith that if they continued to do the right things, success was in their future.

4. Advanced Real Estate Knowledge
Once they were comfortable that they could list and sell property, they dove into advanced training to better counsel their clients. They became specialists in certain types of real estate and became the regional expert.

5. Treat Your Profession as a Business
They not only searched out real estate education but also thirsted to learn more about running their own businesses (business planning, team building, etc.).

These are the first 5 steps. If you accomplish them, you will be a very good agent. Steps 6-10 will enable you to jump into the category of 'great' agent. Next month I will give you the final six steps.

 

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Shorts Sales Just Got Easier

The biggest mystery to me over the last eighteen months was why banks weren't more receptive to the 'short sale' process. Studies have shown that it costs the bank more money if a property was foreclosed upon than if they accepted a 'short sale'. For homeowners, a 'short sale' makes much more sense for several reasons:

  • There is a much higher chance that the deficiency judgment could be negotiated in a short sale versus a foreclosure.
  • A short sale would have less of a negative impact on the homeowner's credit rating.
  • The homeowner would have at least some control over the timing of their relocation to new living arrangements.
  • A 'short sale' would allow the homeowner to leave with dignity.

 

So, if it would be better for both the bank and the homeowner, why were more 'short sales' not completed? A recent research study by The National Consumer Law Center (NCLC) has uncovered the mystery behind this dilemma.

In order to understand it, we must first look at the differences in the banking industry over the last ten years. In the past, the banks used to process the loan (take the application, put together the file, etc.), lend you the money, and also service the loan (send the bills, make collection calls, follow-up, etc.). Over the last eight to ten years, the lending of mortgage money has shifted. First Wall Street and then the federal government became the primary lender in the mortgage sector. But, neither Wall Street nor the government had any interest in processing or servicing the mortgage. Mortgage companies continued to process the loans, but a new industry was created to fill the need for the servicing of these loans.

So now, a separate and independent entity is servicing a tremendous portion of existing mortgages. Just ten years ago, 37.4 percent of all mortgage loans were securitized (thus requiring a servicing company).
Today, that number is 79.3 percent.
 
The NCLC study shows that the reason more houses are not available for 'short sales' is because these servicing companies actually collected more fees for a foreclosure than they did for a 'short sale'. Actually, the servicing company would lose money if they did a 'short sale'. Since they were now in charge of making that decision, it was obvious why foreclosure was the alternative of choice.

The federal government realizing that modifications were not the answer and banks realizing that the foreclosure process was too expensive, have agreed to change the fee structure to make it more profitable for the servicing companies to lean toward 'short sales'.

It's always about the money. This situation was no different. Now that the money will flow to the companies that choose the 'short sale' alternative, watch how much easier the 'short sale' process will become.

 

Keeping Current Matters MembersCure Rate
can Click Here to login and get slides covering the short sales, as well as deliquencies and foreclosures. This will allow you to simply and effectively make
the point to your sellers and buyers.

 

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December Pop's Pointers

Everyone is a little bit afraid of the economy right now; no matter what industry you're in. But what you need to do right now is step up and overcome that fear. The only way we're going to get out of the mess that we're in right now is for agents to go out and sell houses. The time has come that we have to go out and fight the enemy, which is the current economy. And, as realtors, there are two things that we can do in that fight.

The first is to make sure we're pricing houses correctly. The second is to get buyers to realize the outstanding deals that they can get right now, because of low pricing, enormous selection, the extended & expanded tax credit and low interest rates. It's extremely important that we realize that the only way for the world economy to come around is for the national economy to come around. And the only way for the nation's economy to come around is for the housing sector to come around. And the only way for the housing sector to come around is for each of us to work hard. If we each do our job, then things will improve. This market came apart one house at a time, and it will be put back together again, one deal at a time.
Let's get to work now!

 

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Success Strategies

 

This month, instead of our normal Success Strategies I have given you a '7 Step Action Plan' for the tax credit extension and expansion. This is a great gift. Let's maximize the opportunity.

Step #1 -
Contact anyone who might have given up.

 

Originally, there was a lot of speculation that there would be no extension granted. That caused some buyers to stop looking (especially in regions where closings take longer). We must immediately reconnect with this group.

Step #2 - Contact anyone in the higher income levels

that will now be eligible.

 

Income levels will be raised to $125,000 for an individual and $225,000 for married couples. This segment is new to the credit and therefore virgin territory. I would start with this group as it has not been touched by the original tax credit. Since there is higher income, they will qualify for a larger mortgage. This could be the answer for the second tier homes whose sales have remained stagnant.


Step #3 - Contact every move-up buyer.

This group has stayed on the sideline. Now, they might have 6,500 reasons to make the move. One of the reasons they were on the sideline was the difficulty selling their home. But, if the $8,000 credit will now be available to buyers with higher income, more of the middle tier priced homes will sell. Many of the sales over the last 6 months were foreclosed properties which did not create move-up buyers. Now, more non-distressed properties will sell.

Step #4 - Let every buyer know that this is the best time

in history to buy a home.

 

The affordability of homes has gotten better for three reasons.

A. Interest rates are at historic lows.
However, the Fed has announced it will pull back on the purchase of mortgage-backed-securities in March. Experts believe that will drive interest rates to over 6 percent.

B. Tax Credits if you buy now.
Whether it is $8,000 for new buyers or $6,500 for the move-up buyer, the tax credit will expire in the first half of 2010.
(the house must be in contract by April 30th.)

C. Selection is fabulous.
No matter what type of home you are looking for, your choices are almost unlimited. As more buyers take advantage of this opportunity the less choice there will be.

Step #5 - Contact all the CMA's you did over the last year

and let them know - THE TIME HAS COME!

 

If anyone wants to move (for whatever reason) now is the time. They will never have a better opportunity to move on with their lives and live the life they have always dreamt about.


Step #6 - Contact every listing that EXPIRED in the

last 18 months.

 

Again, if anyone wants to move (for whatever reason) now is the time. They will never have a better opportunity to move on with their lives and live the life they have always dreamt about.


Step #7 - Sit with your existing sellers.

The opportunity to sell their home will dramatically increase from now until the spring. Then, interest rates will rise and the extension of the tax credit will expire. We must insist that they price it properly. If their house doesn't sell now, then when?

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Previous KCM Quick Reports

November Quick Report  October Quick Report

 

September Quick Report  August QR 2009

 

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Buyers Tip

Tax Credit Expansion


The Home Buyer's Tax Credit was not only extended, it was also expanded.

The original $8,000 first time buyer credit's income levels have been raised  from $75,000 to $125,000 for an individual and from $150,000 to $225,000 for married couples.

Also, current homeowners may be eligible for a new $6,500 credit. Now is the perfect time to move-up to the house of your dreams.

 

Sellers Tip
Mortgage Distress is High 


Sam Khater, senior economist with First American CoreLogic :

"The reason REOs (homes already owned by banks) have declined is that flow of distressed properties into REO has been artificially restricted due to local, state and GSE foreclosure moratoria, loan modifications and servicer backlogs. This has led to a drop in the supply of REO properties, while at the same time sales (including REO sales) increased due to the artificially low rates and first-time homebuyer tax credits, which further depleted the supply of REOs. This dynamic has led to the rapid improvement in home prices over the last six to eight months.

However, the mortgage distress is high and rising as is evident by the 90+ day category, which means the pending supply is building up due to high levels of negative equity and rising unemployment. So we have a situation where at the back end (ie REOs) it appears as if it's getting better, but it's really a mirage as we know that the pending supply pipeline default (ie 90+ day DQs) is looming larger."

EXACTLY how many homes WILL go to foreclosure?
Not sure.

 

EXACTLY how many homes WILL be sold as a short sale? Not sure.


What we are sure of is that there will be millions. And millions will result in tremendous downward pressure on prices.

 

 

On October 23rd, The New York Times reported:

"One of those things propping up the market has been the Federal Reserve, which has been buying mortgage-backed securities to keep interest rates low. As the Fed begins to wind down its purchases in the next few months, rates will become less enticing. Analysts expect them to rise to at least 6 percent from the current 5 percent."

If interest rates go up even by one percentage point, to six percent, as the New York Times suggests analysts are predicting, that will raise the cost of purchasing a home. Some buyers are sitting on the fence right now, concerned that prices still might fall.

In reality, even if prices fall another ten percent, if interest rates rise one percent, the buyer's monthly mortgage payment will actually be higher.

We must help educate the buyer that it is more than just price that makes a good deal. Instead, they should consider cost, which is made up of both price and FINANCING.

If a buyer is considering purchasing anytime in the near future, because of this potential spike in interest rates,
they should purchase now.

 

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Quote

 

"All our dreams can come true
if we have the courage to
pursue them."

~Walt Disney

 

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