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Over my 25 years in the business, I have had the great
opportunity to see many new agents develop into great agents.
Heading into 2010, I wanted to show you the path most of them took:
1.
Get Basic Real Estate Knowledge
They were sponges trying to obtain as much education as they could,
as quickly as possible.
2.
Know You Can Make Money
Though they never stopped learning, they also realized that they
must apply what they learned. You can't learn to swim in a
classroom. You need to get in the pool.
3.
Develop a Great Attitude
Success is impossible without failure. They were never concerned
about lack of success. They had faith that if they continued to do
the right things, success was in their future.
4.
Advanced Real Estate Knowledge
Once they were comfortable that they could list and sell property,
they dove into advanced training to better counsel their clients.
They became specialists in certain types of real estate and became
the regional expert.
5.
Treat Your Profession as a Business
They not only searched out real estate education but also thirsted
to learn more about running their own businesses (business
planning, team building, etc.).
These are the first 5 steps. If you accomplish them, you will be a
very good agent. Steps 6-10 will enable you to jump into the
category of 'great' agent. Next month I will give you the final
six steps.
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The biggest mystery to me over the last eighteen months was
why banks weren't more receptive to the 'short sale' process.
Studies have shown that it costs the bank more money if a property
was foreclosed upon than if they accepted a 'short sale'. For homeowners,
a 'short sale' makes much more sense for several reasons:
- There is a
much higher chance that the deficiency judgment could be
negotiated in a short sale versus a foreclosure.
- A short sale would have
less of a negative impact on the homeowner's credit rating.
- The homeowner would have
at least some control over the timing of their relocation to
new living arrangements.
- A
'short sale' would allow the homeowner to leave with dignity.
So,
if it would be better for both the bank and the homeowner, why were
more 'short sales' not completed? A recent research study by The
National Consumer Law Center (NCLC) has uncovered the mystery
behind this dilemma.
In order to understand it, we must first look at the differences in
the banking industry over the last ten years. In the past, the
banks used to process the loan (take the application, put together
the file, etc.), lend you the money, and also service the loan
(send the bills, make collection calls, follow-up, etc.). Over the
last eight to ten years, the lending of mortgage money has shifted.
First Wall Street and then the federal government became the
primary lender in the mortgage sector. But, neither Wall Street nor
the government had any interest in processing or servicing the
mortgage. Mortgage companies continued to process the loans, but a
new industry was created to fill the need for the servicing of
these loans.
So now, a separate and independent entity is servicing a tremendous
portion of existing mortgages. Just ten years ago, 37.4 percent
of all mortgage loans were securitized (thus requiring a
servicing company). Today, that number is 79.3
percent.
The NCLC study shows that the reason more houses are not available
for 'short sales' is because these servicing companies actually
collected more fees for a foreclosure than they did for a 'short
sale'. Actually, the servicing company would lose money if they did
a 'short sale'. Since they were now in charge of making that
decision, it was obvious why foreclosure was the alternative of
choice.
The federal government realizing that modifications were not the
answer and banks realizing that the foreclosure process was too
expensive, have agreed to change the fee structure to make it more
profitable for the servicing companies to lean toward 'short
sales'.
It's
always about the money. This situation was no different. Now that
the money will flow to the companies that choose the 'short sale'
alternative, watch how much easier the 'short sale' process will
become.
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Keeping
Current Matters Members
can Click Here to login and
get slides covering the short sales, as well as deliquencies and
foreclosures. This will allow you to simply and effectively make
the point to your sellers and buyers.
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Everyone is a little bit afraid of the economy right now; no matter
what industry you're in. But what you need to do right now is step
up and overcome that fear. The only way we're going to get out of
the mess that we're in right now is for agents to go out and sell
houses. The time has come that we have to go out and fight the
enemy, which is the current economy. And, as realtors, there are
two things that we can do in that fight.
The first is to make sure we're pricing houses correctly. The
second is to get buyers to realize the outstanding deals that they
can get right now, because of low pricing, enormous selection, the
extended & expanded tax credit and low interest rates. It's
extremely important that we realize that the only way for the world
economy to come around is for the national economy to come around.
And the only way for the nation's economy to come around is for the
housing sector to come around. And the only way for the housing
sector to come around is for each of us to work hard. If we each do
our job, then things will improve. This market came apart one house
at a time, and it will be put back together again, one deal at a
time. Let's
get to work now!
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This
month, instead of our normal Success Strategies I have given you a '7
Step Action Plan' for the tax credit extension
and expansion. This is a great gift. Let's maximize the
opportunity.
Step #1 - Contact
anyone who might have given up.
Originally, there was
a lot of speculation that there would be no extension granted. That
caused some buyers to stop looking (especially in regions where
closings take longer). We must immediately reconnect with this
group.
Step
#2 -
Contact anyone in the higher income levels
that
will now be eligible.
Income
levels will be raised to $125,000 for an individual and $225,000
for married couples. This segment is new to the credit and
therefore virgin territory. I would start with this group as it has
not been touched by the original tax credit. Since there is higher
income, they will qualify for a larger mortgage. This could be the
answer for the second tier homes whose sales have remained
stagnant.
Step
#3 - Contact
every move-up buyer.
This group has stayed
on the sideline. Now, they might have 6,500 reasons to make the
move. One of the reasons they were on the sideline was the
difficulty selling their home. But, if the $8,000 credit will now
be available to buyers with higher income, more of the middle tier
priced homes will sell. Many of the sales over the last 6 months
were foreclosed properties which did not create move-up buyers.
Now, more non-distressed properties will sell.
Step
#4 - Let
every buyer know that this is the best time
in
history to buy a home.
The affordability of
homes has gotten better for three reasons.
A.
Interest rates are at historic lows.
However, the Fed has announced it will pull back on the purchase of
mortgage-backed-securities in March. Experts believe that will
drive interest rates to over 6 percent.
B.
Tax Credits if you buy now.
Whether it is $8,000 for new buyers or $6,500 for the move-up
buyer, the tax credit will expire in the first half of 2010.
(the house must be in contract by April 30th.)
C.
Selection is fabulous.
No matter what type of home you are looking for, your choices are
almost unlimited. As more buyers take advantage of this opportunity
the less choice there will be.
Step
#5 - Contact
all the CMA's you did over the last year
and
let them know - THE TIME HAS COME!
If
anyone wants to move (for whatever reason) now is the time. They
will never have a better opportunity to move on with their lives
and live the life they have always dreamt about.
Step
#6 - Contact
every listing that EXPIRED in the
Again,
if anyone wants to move (for whatever reason) now is the time. They
will never have a better opportunity to move on with their lives
and live the life they have always dreamt about.
Step
#7 - Sit
with your existing sellers.
The
opportunity to sell their home will dramatically increase from now
until the spring. Then, interest rates will rise and the extension
of the tax credit will expire. We must insist that they price it
properly. If their house doesn't sell now, then when?
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The Home Buyer's Tax Credit was not only extended, it
was also expanded.
The original $8,000 first time buyer credit's income levels have
been raised from $75,000 to $125,000 for an individual and
from $150,000 to $225,000 for married couples.
Also, current homeowners may be eligible for a new $6,500 credit. Now
is the perfect time to move-up to the house of your dreams.
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Sam Khater, senior
economist with First American CoreLogic :
"The reason REOs (homes already owned by banks) have
declined is that flow of distressed properties into REO has been
artificially restricted due to local, state and GSE foreclosure
moratoria, loan modifications and servicer backlogs. This has led to
a drop in the supply of REO properties, while at the same time
sales (including REO sales) increased due to the artificially low
rates and first-time homebuyer tax credits, which further depleted
the supply of REOs. This dynamic has led to the rapid improvement
in home prices over the last six to eight months.
However, the mortgage distress is high and rising as is evident
by the 90+ day category, which means the pending supply is building
up due to high levels of negative equity and rising unemployment.
So we have a situation where at the back end (ie REOs) it appears
as if it's getting better, but it's really a mirage as we know that
the pending supply pipeline default (ie 90+ day DQs) is looming
larger."
EXACTLY how many homes WILL go to
foreclosure?
Not sure.
EXACTLY how many homes WILL be sold as a short
sale? Not sure.
What we are sure of is that there will be millions. And millions
will result in tremendous downward pressure on prices.
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On October 23rd, The New
York Times reported:
"One of those things propping up the market has been the
Federal Reserve, which has been buying mortgage-backed securities
to keep interest rates low. As the Fed begins to wind down its
purchases in the next few months, rates will become less enticing.
Analysts expect them to rise to at least 6 percent from the current
5 percent."
If interest rates go up even by one percentage point, to six
percent, as the New York Times suggests analysts are predicting,
that will raise the cost of purchasing a home. Some buyers are
sitting on the fence right now, concerned that prices still might
fall.
In reality, even if prices fall another ten percent, if interest
rates rise one percent, the buyer's monthly mortgage payment will
actually be higher.
We must help educate the buyer that it is more than just price that
makes a good deal. Instead, they should consider cost, which is
made up of both price and FINANCING.
If a buyer is considering purchasing anytime in the near future,
because of this potential spike in interest rates,they should purchase now. |
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www.steveharneyblog.com
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"All
our dreams can come true
if we have the courage to
pursue them."
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