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Future House Prices: A Look into the Crystal Ball

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Home-Price-Expectation-275Today, many real estate conversations center on housing prices and where they may be headed. That is why we like the Home Price Expectation Survey. Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts and investment & market strategists about where prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.

The results of their latest survey

  • Home values will appreciate by 4.4% in 2014.
  • The cumulative appreciation will be 19.5% by 2018.
  • That means the average annual appreciation will be 3.6% over the next 5 years.
  • Even the experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey still are projecting a cumulative appreciation of 9.4% by 2018.

Individual opinions make headlines. We believe the survey is a fairer depiction of future values.


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7 Responses to “Future House Prices: A Look into the Crystal Ball”

  1. Steven Beam May 21, 2014 at 1:26 pm # Reply

    I just don’t think this is going to happen. I’m seeing price decreases in my market daily and we are in the hottest part of the buying season.

    • Renee Clark May 21, 2014 at 10:08 pm # Reply

      Steven, Which market are you in?

    • May 23, 2014 at 11:17 am # Reply

      Steven, I see you’re in Denver. Surprising that you’re seeing price declines. In New York there is no weakness at all – sellers still reign supreme. Bidding wars and cash is king.

    • Lee Kissinger May 23, 2014 at 1:47 pm # Reply

      Although the survey results are encouraging, real estate property values in one local market can be very different from another. The economists that were surveyed are basing their opinions on what they expect to see on a national level even when some markets might see a decline in home values.

    • Kevin K2 April 13, 2017 at 8:35 am # Reply

      guess you were wrong!

  2. Jim Garcia March 24, 2015 at 12:19 pm # Reply

    Prices keep going up in Castle Rock, CO. Demand from people moving into the area keeps out pacing the new supply of inventory. It’s crazy. Prices cannot keep going up this fast continually and not slow down. It should be interesting to see what happens when interest rates rise again.

  3. keys Kaley April 13, 2016 at 8:07 am # Reply

    excellent !

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