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Archive | November, 2011

The Wealthy Are Also Defaulting on Their Mortgages




There are many who believe that mortgage delinquencies in their region are concentrated in the middle-to-lower income neighborhoods. Actually, the research shows the number of delinquencies in the higher priced sections are currently exceeding the percentages in less affluent areas.

The most recent Mortgage Monitor issued by LPS reports that the largest increase in both delinquencies and foreclosures, as compared to 2008 levels, are in ‘jumbo’ mortgages. A jumbo mortgage, according to Wikipedia, is:

“a mortgage loan in an amount above conventional conforming loan limits…the limit is $417,000 for most of the US.”

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Home Sales Increase Across the Country




The National Association of Realtors recently released their 2011 3rd Quarter Housing Report. In the report, they showed that combined sales of single family homes, condos and co-ops increased in EVERY state as compared to the 3rd quarter of last year. Here are the state-by-state numbers.

The next time someone says houses aren’t selling, ask them which state they live in and show them the chart.

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Rent or Buy? The Research Is In!!




Today, we are again honored to have Ken H. Johnson, Ph.D. — Florida International University (FIU) and Editor of the Journal of Housing Research as our guest blogger. To view other research from FIU, visit http://realestate.fiu.edu/. Dr. Johnson was one of the top speakers at NAR’s Conference and Expo in Anaheim earlier this month. He is sharing his presentation with us today - The KCM Crew

Click for Presentation

Should individuals buy or rent? What is the evidence on this question? What is the present condition of the U.S. housing market? Relatively speaking, how affordable is housing today? Is the market turning around or are we headed for another dip? These and other questions are answered in the attached PowerPoint presentation.

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Understanding the Impact of Shadow Inventory




Standard & Poors released their Third Quarter 2011 Shadow Inventory Update yesterday. We want to cover the basic points of the report today.

What is shadow inventory?

It is an inventory of houses that will come to market as a distressed properties at a discounted price. Each of the data companies define shadow inventory in slightly different ways. Standard & Poors defines it this way:

“We include in the shadow inventory all outstanding properties for which borrowers are 90 days or more delinquent on their mortgage payments, properties in foreclosure, and properties that are real estate owned (REO).

We also include 70% of the loans that “cured” from being 90 days delinquent (loans that once again became current) within the past 12 months because cured loans are more likely to re-default. Our calculation of the months to clear the shadow inventory is the ratio of the total volume of distressed loans to the six-month moving average of liquidations.

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Why You Need an Expert – Part II




Yesterday, we explained that having someone who truly knows the market was crucial if you were planning to buy or sell a home today. This expert should know what is happening in real estate, understand why it is happening and be able to simply and effectively explain each point to you and your family. Today, we want to discuss the consequences if you don’t have a true industry professional on your side.

When families enter into a contract to buy or sell a house, two things are true:

  1. The buyer wants to own the home.
  2. The seller wants to sell the home.
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