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¿Hacia dónde se dirigen los precios de las casas en los próximos 5 años?

¿Hacia dónde se dirigen los precios de las casas en los próximos 5 años?

Hoy, muchas conversaciones de bienes raíces se centran en los precios de la vivienda y hacia donde se dirigen. Por eso nos gusta la ‘Home Price Expectation Survey (la encuesta de las expectativas de los precios de las casas).

Cada trimestre, Pulsenomics encuesta a un panel nacional de más de cien economistas, expertos en bienes raíces, estrategas de inversión & mercadeo sobre hacia donde se dirigen los precios durante los próximos cinco años; Entonces ellos sacan un promedio de las proyecciones de los más de 100 expertos en un solo número.

Los resultados de su última encuesta:

El valor de las casas va a apreciar 5.0 % durante el curso del 2017, 4.0 % en 2018, 3.2 % in 2019, 3.0 % in 2020, and 3.0 % in 2021. Eso significa que la apreciación anual promedio será de 3.64 % durante los próximos 5 años.

 ¿Hacia dónde se dirigen los precios de las casas en los próximos 5 años? | Keeping Current Matters

La proyección de la apreciación acumulativa aumento del 17.8 % al 18.4 % para 2021. Los expertos del cuartil más negativo de la encuesta están proyectando una apreciación acumulativa de 6.7 %.

 ¿Hacia dónde se dirigen los precios de las casas en los próximos 5 años? | Keeping Current Matters

En conclusión,

Las opiniones individuales hacen titulares. Nosotros creemos que la encuesta es una representación más justa de los valores futuros.


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6 comentarios
  1. Larry K
    Larry K Dice:

    Wrong, did you ever hear about the Bell Curve?
    We are at the top of that curve right now. People are having trouble making their mortgage payments.
    Banks are holding on to properties they foreclosed. They are afraid if they dump too many on the market the prices overall may lower causing buyers hesitant on pulling the trigger waiting until it drops lower.
    It’s coming within the next year. It’s enviable. Most likely will be much worse than 2008. So get ready

    Responder
    • Monica
      Monica Dice:

      ….? Whaaaaat? Lol The economy is good right now and there are good Loans out there people aren’t in situations like they were 10 years ago with upside down Loans, negative and amortization or interest only arms …… people are acquiring equity in their properties and first time buyers are on the up with almost 90% of the purchase loans being government backed loans. If anything the market will plateau but it’s not hitting a dive anytime soon. Have you tried selling a short sale? Or purchasing one? Thanks hold out for full value if people get to that point but there’s so many programs to help people keep their mortgage if they hit hard times for any reason, by modifying it because the banks don’t want the property they don’t want the same issues they had before.

      Responder
  2. Lloyd
    Lloyd Dice:

    It seems house prices are on the rise. There are several other plays here, some good some bad. ObamaCare is too expensive for middle class. Inflation is low so that’s good for consumer products such as food and gas. However, education and autos are rampant as far as non-reported inflation goes. Credit markets are stable for now. At the same time, there is lots of silent foreclosures because folks just can’t cope with their mortgages, but none of this shows up in statistics – this is because 1) a large company like GoldmanSachs buys the mortgage and renegotiates the mortgage down or 2) a large company like BlackStone buys property before it hits the courthouse and rents it out or 3) companies like OpenDoor or just large RE brokerages buy those properties and relist them at higher prices. Without these silent buffers, the market would be about 20% lower right now. In the end, houses are realistically too expensive for an average family, but the Fed’s programs (which feed companies like GS, OpenDoor and BlackStone) aren’t going away any time soon. So prices will continue a modest creep up, likely for the next 2-3 years. After that, they will likely sharply revert to the mean, which , at the time, will be about 50% drop. When that happens, it will take easily by 2050 for prices to come back up, because we will be in a stagflation for a very long time, where consumer items will be expensive and houses cheap because credit will be scarce due to high interest rates imposed by foreign creditors. Enjoy the ride.

    Responder

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