Top 5 Days to Sell:

• June 28^th – 9.1% above market
• February 15^th – 9.0% above market
• May 31^st – 8.3% above market
• May 29^th – 8.2% above market
• June 21^st – 8.1% above market

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• A 5% increase in home prices increases payments by roughly 5%
• A 1% rise in interest rates increases payments by roughly 13% or 14%

What if both rates and prices increase as predicted?

“If interest rates and home prices rise by year-end in the ballpark of what most analysts are forecasting, monthly mortgage payments on a new home purchase could increase another 10–15%. That would make 2018 one of the worst full-year deteriorations in affordability for the past 25 years.”

“For the U.S. overall, even if affordability were to deteriorate as forecasted, affordability would still be reasonable by historic norms. That is because the percentage of pre-tax income needed to buy a typical home in 2019 would still be similar to the historical average during 1987–2004. Thus, nationally at least, even with higher rates and home prices, affordability will just revert to historical norms.”

What about home prices?

“Even recent interest rate increases and higher taxes on some upper-income earners didn’t slow the market, as many had feared...Short of a war or stock market crash, housing markets could continue to surprise on the upside over the next few years.”

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The Top 5 Best States for Millennials are:

1. Washington, D.C. (also ranks highest in percentage of millennials already living there!)
2. North Dakota (lowest unemployment rate)
3. Minnesota (highest millennial homeownership rate)
4. Massachusetts (highest percentage of millennials with health insurance coverage)
5. Iowa (ranked #1 in lowest housing cost for millennials)

1. Washington, D.C.
2. New York
3. Massachusetts
4. Washington
5. California

1. Minnesota
2. West Virginia
3. Indiana
4. Utah
5. Delaware

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“The Debt Service Ratio for mortgages is near the low for the last 38 years. This ratio increased rapidly during the housing bubble and continued to increase until 2007. With falling interest rates, and less mortgage debt, the mortgage ratio has declined significantly.”

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“Before you buy a home, it’s important to find out if you can afford the monthly mortgage payment. To do this, some financial experts recommend your housing costs — primarily your mortgage payments — shouldn’t consume more than 30 percent of your monthly income.”

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So, what does this mean for homeowners and their equity position?

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“It’s highly recommended that you work with your lender to get pre-approved before you begin house hunting. Pre-approval will tell you how much home you can afford and can help you move faster, and with greater confidence, in competitive markets.”

1. Capacity: Your current and future ability to make your payments
2. Capital or cash reserves: The money, savings, and investments you have that can be sold quickly for cash
3. Collateral: The home, or type of home, that you would like to purchase
4. Credit: Your history of paying bills and other debts on time

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*Assumptions in the Zillow report: Buyer puts 20% down, takes out a conforming, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at rates prevailing at the time, earns the median household income, and is buying a median-valued home.

The Difference Between PRICE and COST

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*Assumptions in the Zillow report: Buyer puts 20% down, takes out a conforming, 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at rates prevailing at the time, earns the median household income, and is buying a median-valued home.

In today’s housing market, is it better to rent or buy a home?

“Our data indicates that prices are above their 40-year trend but not significantly so as they were in 2007. Rather than a crash, I anticipate slower growth in prices accompanied by longer marketing times for sellers and increasing inventories, which should bring prices back in conjunction with their 40-year trend.”

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“When getting help with money, whether it’s insurance, real estate or investments, you should always look for someone with the heart of a teacher, not the heart of a salesman.”

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“Buying remains the more attractive option in the long term – that remains the American dream, and it’s true in many markets where renting has become really the shortsighted option… as people get more savings in their pockets, buying becomes the better option.”

What proof exists that owning is financially better than renting?

• Homeownership is a form of forced savings.
• Homeownership provides tax savings.
• Homeownership allows you to lock in your monthly housing cost.
• Buying a home is cheaper than renting.
• No other investment lets you live inside of it.

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• Historically, the choice between renting or buying a home has been a tough decision.
• Looking at the percentage of income needed to rent a median-priced home today (28.9%) vs. the percentage needed to buy a median-priced home (15.7%), the choice becomes obvious.
• Every market is different. Before you renew your lease again, find out if you can put your housing costs to work by buying this year!

Some Highlights

• Historically, the choice between renting or buying a home has been a tough decision.
• Looking at the percentage of income needed to rent a median-priced home today (28.9%) vs. the percentage needed to buy a median-priced home (15.7%), the choice becomes obvious.
• Every market is different. Before you renew your lease again, find out if you can put your housing costs to work by buying this year!

Some Highlights:

• Historically, the choice between renting or buying a home has been a tough decision.
• Looking at the percentage of income needed to rent a median-priced home today (28.9%) vs. the percentage needed to buy a median-priced home (15.7%), the choice becomes obvious.

1. Demand Is Strong

2. There Is Less Competition Now

3. The Process Will Be Quicker

4. There Will Never Be a Better Time to Move Up

5. It’s Time to Move on With Your Life

That is what is truly important.

1. Demand Is Strong

2. There Is Less Competition Now

3. The Process Will Be Quicker

4. There Will Never Be a Better Time to Move Up

5. It’s Time to Move on With Your Life

That is what is truly important.

Let’s look at this example.

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“A new generation of affluent homebuyers powered by a surge in inherited wealth is driving the luxury-home market, demanding larger spaces and fancier finishes, according to a report heralding ‘the rise of the new aristocracy.’”

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1. Affordability

“It may be easy enough to purchase your home today but think long-term about your monthly costs. Account for property taxes, insurance, HOA fees, utilities – all the things that will be due whether or not you have a mortgage on the property.”

2. Equity

“If you have equity in your current home, you may be able to apply it to the purchase of your next home. Maintaining a healthy amount of home equity gives you a source of emergency funds to tap, via a home equity loan or reverse mortgage.”

3. Maintenance

“As we age, our tolerance for cleaning gutters, raking leaves and shoveling snow can go right out the window. A condominium with low-maintenance needs can be a literal lifesaver, if your health or physical abilities decline.”

4. Security

“Elderly homeowners can be targets for scams or break-ins. Living in a home with security features, such as a manned gate house, resident-only access and a security system can bring peace of mind.”

5. Pets

“Renting won’t do if the dog can’t come too! The companionship of pets can provide emotional and physical benefits.”

6. Mobility

“No one wants to picture themselves in a wheelchair or a walker, but the home layout must be able to accommodate limited mobility.”

7. Convenience

“Is the new home close to the golf course, or to shopping and dining? Do you have amenities within easy walking distance? This can add to home value!”

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What if you only needed to save 3%?

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1. Prices Will Continue to Rise

2. Mortgage Interest Rates Are Projected to Increase

3. Either Way, You Are Paying a Mortgage

4. It’s Time to Move on with Your Life

If the right thing for you and your family is to purchase a home this year, buying sooner rather than later could lead to substantial savings.

1. Prices Will Continue to Rise

2. Mortgage Interest Rates Are Projected to Increase

3. Either Way, You Are Paying a Mortgage

4. It’s Time to Move on with Your Life

If the right thing for you and your family is to purchase a home this year, buying sooner rather than later could lead to substantial savings.

• Don’t forget to set your clocks forward this Sunday, March 11^th at 2:00 AM EST in observance of Daylight Saving Time.
• Unless of course, you are a resident of Arizona or Hawaii!
• Every hour in the United States: 614 homes are sold, 81 homes regain equity (meaning they are no longer underwater on their mortgage), and the median home price rises $1.51!

Some Highlights

• Don’t forget to set your clocks forward this Sunday, March 11^th at 2:00 AM EST in observance of Daylight Saving Time.
• Unless of course, you are a resident of Arizona or Hawaii!
• Every hour in the United States: 614 homes are sold, 81 homes regain equity (meaning they are no longer underwater on their mortgage), and the median home price rises $1.51!

Some Highlights:

• Don’t forget to set your clocks forward this Sunday, March 11^th at 2:00 AM EST in observance of Daylight Saving Time.
• Unless of course, you are a resident of Arizona or Hawaii!

“Homeowners in the United States experienced a run-up in prices from the early 2000s to 2006, and then saw the trend reverse with steady declines through 2011. After finally reaching bottom in 2011, home prices began a slow rise back to where we are now. Greater demand and lower supply – as well as booming job markets – have given some of the hardest-hit housing markets a boost in home prices. Yet, many are still not back to pre-crash levels.”

Where were prices expected to go?

Where are prices headed in the next 5 years?

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How will this impact buyers?

“This rise in single-family housing construction will help tame home price growth, and the increase in multifamily units should continue to help slow rent growth.”

How will this impact sellers?

1. A great price on their home as buyers outbid each other for it
2. A quick sale as buyers have so little to choose from
3. Fewer hassles as buyers don’t want to “rock the boat” on the deal

“Because existing home inventory has been so low for so long, new construction is taking a larger share of the market…Builders meet the buyers and see the demand firsthand.”

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That hasn’t happened this year.

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REALTORS^® CONFIDENCE INDEX

THE EXISTING HOME SALES REPORT

• Total housing inventory rose 4.1% from December to 1.52 million homes available for sale.
• Unsold inventory is 9.5% lower than a year ago, marking the 32nd consecutive month with year-over-year declines.
• This represents a 3.4-month supply at the current sales pace.

“Another month of solid price gains underlines this ongoing trend of strong demand and weak supply. The underproduction of single-family homes over the last decade has played a predominant role in the current inventory crisis that is weighing on affordability.”

“While the good news is that Realtors in most areas are saying buyer traffic is even stronger than the beginning of last year, sales failed to follow course and far lagged last January’s pace. It’s very clear that too many markets right now are becoming less affordable and desperately need more new listings to calm the speedy price growth.”

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